Guarany de Sobral vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GPM
3 - 1
GUA
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 2
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
TIR
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 0
GUA
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 0
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
CRA
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 2
CRA
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |