Guarany de Sobral vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
LON
3 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
MOG
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
3 - 1
AMF
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
JEC
5 - 3
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
3 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
0 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
ANA
3 - 2
AVA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
4 - 0
SAO
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 1
AVA
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |