Guarany de Bagé vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
AIM
2 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 3
GUA
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 0
SGA
54%
23%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ISM
1 - 0
PEL
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
0 - 0
ISM
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
PEL
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |