Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ECA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
AIM
2 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 3
GUA
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Inter Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
ISM
3 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SGA
3 - 2
ISM
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ISM
1 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ECA
6 - 0
ISM
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ISM
1 - 0
PEL
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |