Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 1-1
Guaraní vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
GUA
21%
24%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
AGU
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ONC
4 - 0
CAL
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SFE
1 - 2
CAL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
CAL
38%
27%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |