Guaraní vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2022 |
12O
1 - 2
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
12O
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
12O
2 - 0
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 0
12O
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 0
12O
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |