Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
MIL
5 - 1
GUA
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
3 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1985 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
GUA
2 - 0
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1996 |
JUN
1 - 0
CCP
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
0 - 0
JUN
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
1 - 0
BSC
50%
28%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |