Guaraní vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 0
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 3
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 0
TIG
71%
17%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 2
PAL
19%
26%
54%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
3 - 1
GIM
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ALB
2 - 1
TIG
12%
22%
65%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |