Guaraní vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
RÑU
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
RÑU
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIB
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |