Guarani RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 0
GUA
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
GRE
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
7 - 2
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SGA
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
32%
24%
45%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |