Guarani MG vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
23.3%
66.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
20.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.7%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
TFC
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
USC
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
USC
0 - 1
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
CRZ
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CRZ
0 - 2
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
VIT
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |