Guaraní vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 1
BAT
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 1
MIR
27%
24%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
VEL
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 6
NOV
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |