Guaraní vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 4
GUA
61%
25%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
3 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
0 - 3
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
2 - 5
PAL
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
3 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
3 - 6
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |