Paulista A1 Temporada Regular. Jor. 1

Guaraní vs São Paulo analysis

Guaraní São Paulo
71 ELO 85
1.9% Tilt -7.3%
452º General ELO ranking 53º
32º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.6%
Guaraní
25.9%
Draw
54.5%
São Paulo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
Guaraní
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.5%
Win probability
São Paulo
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guaraní
-16%
-5%
São Paulo

ELO progression

Guaraní
São Paulo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2021
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
58%
23%
19%
70 77 7 0
23 Nov. 2021
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 2
Goiás EC
GOI
42%
27%
31%
71 73 2 -1
13 Nov. 2021
GUA
Guaraní
4 - 0
Avaí
AVA
40%
28%
32%
70 74 4 +1
10 Nov. 2021
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
0 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
20%
27%
53%
69 58 11 +1
07 Nov. 2021
VIL
Vila Nova
2 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
35%
30%
36%
69 68 1 0

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2021
AMF
América Mineiro
2 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
31%
27%
42%
86 82 4 0
06 Dec. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
3 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
65%
21%
14%
86 75 11 0
03 Dec. 2021
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
46%
25%
30%
86 85 1 0
28 Nov. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
68%
20%
12%
86 72 14 0
25 Nov. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
50%
25%
25%
86 84 2 0
X