Guaraní vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
BRA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
ITU
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
MIR
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
ITU
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 1
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VOL
1 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |