Guaraní vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
20%
26%
55%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
INT
0 - 4
GUA
22%
25%
52%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
LON
2 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
AMF
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
FER
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 3
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |