Guaraní vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
48%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
GUA
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 2
COM
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 3
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
MIR
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 1
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |