Guaraní vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
5 - 1
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SCI
3 - 0
CRI
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 3
VAS
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
SCI
63%
20%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |