Guaraní vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIT
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
GUA
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
ATM
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 1
ATP
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRE
5 - 1
CEA
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |