Guaraní vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 0
GUA
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
GUA
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
OES
2 - 0
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
FFL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 1
AMF
28%
30%
41%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 0
BRA
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 2
CRB
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
LON
1 - 0
BRA
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
BRA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |