Guaraní vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUA
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
POR
25%
27%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIT
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
GRÊ
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |