Guaraní A. Franco vs Loma Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
FER
3 - 2
GAF
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
GAF
3 - 2
TAL
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
RIV
4 - 0
GAF
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
SMA
2 - 2
GAF
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
GAF
1 - 0
CAU
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Loma Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
LON
3 - 0
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SLM
3 - 1
LON
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
FER
4 - 1
LON
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
TAL
1 - 2
LON
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
LON
0 - 0
RIV
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |