Guangzhou City vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
HEN
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SHA
4 - 2
GUA
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIA
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
BEI
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JIA
1 - 2
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
QIN
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 2
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |