Guangzhou FC vs Shanghai Jiading Huilong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
13º
5º
15
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 58 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 54 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 54 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 53 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 39 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 37 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 36 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 35 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 31 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 25 |
15º
|
42.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 18 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 5
YUN
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
DUF
1 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
HKF
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
ANH
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
YAN
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 0
SHA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
NAN
26%
28%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |