Guangdong vs Shenyang Shenbei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SHA
3 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
BEI
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LIA
3 - 1
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
SIC
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
PUD
3 - 1
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Shenyang Shenbei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SHE
4 - 4
QIN
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SHA
2 - 1
SHE
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 1
SHA
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
BEI
1 - 2
SHE
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SHE
3 - 2
LIA
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |