Guanacasteca vs Municipal Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
11º
5º
15
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PER
0 - 0
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
CSH
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
GRE
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 3
MUN
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |