Gualdo vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 1
GUA
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPA
30%
29%
41%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VIN
1 - 2
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
ACP
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
UCG
1 - 3
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ANC
3 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
ANC
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ANC
0 - 0
BEN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ANC
1 - 0
CUO
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2005 |
SAS
3 - 1
ANC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |