Guaireña vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
TAC
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
JLM
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
12O
0 - 4
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
NAC
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
TAC
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |