Guaireña vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 3
12O
63%
22%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
5 - 2
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BOC
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 1
LIB
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |