Guadiana vs San Francisco de Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CDB
2 - 0
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
PUE
12%
20%
67%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
LAA
0 - 0
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
FUE
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UCL
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Francisco de Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SFO
1 - 1
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
SFO
65%
20%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SFO
0 - 4
VER
31%
25%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AZU
2 - 1
SFO
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SFO
0 - 1
CAL
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |