Chivas Guadalajara vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
JUA
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 0
UDG
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
3 - 1
TEP
48%
29%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
UAT
0 - 2
UDG
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 1
DOR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |