Guaçuano vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
IND
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
BAT
1 - 1
VOT
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAT
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 0
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |