Qualifying Stages Conmebol Sudamericana Primera Fase. Final

Global 6-2

Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Nacional Potosí analysis

Guabirá Santa Cruz Nacional Potosí
66 ELO 66
13.7% Tilt 11.8%
1611º General ELO ranking 1007º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.4%
Guabirá Santa Cruz
23.9%
Draw
32.7%
Nacional Potosí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
Guabirá Santa Cruz
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.7%
Win probability
Nacional Potosí
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guabirá Santa Cruz
+8%
-10%
Nacional Potosí

ELO progression

Guabirá Santa Cruz
Nacional Potosí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guabirá Santa Cruz
Guabirá Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
GUA
Guabirá Santa Cruz
3 - 1
Bolívar
BOL
29%
24%
48%
63 71 8 0
31 Dec. 2020
GUA
Guabirá Santa Cruz
4 - 0
Real Potosí
RPO
62%
21%
18%
63 55 8 0
29 Dec. 2020
SAC
Real Santa Cruz
4 - 4
Guabirá Santa Cruz
GUA
45%
26%
30%
63 59 4 0
27 Dec. 2020
GUA
Guabirá Santa Cruz
3 - 2
The Strongest
STR
16%
22%
62%
62 81 19 +1
25 Dec. 2020
BLO
Blooming
1 - 2
Guabirá Santa Cruz
GUA
53%
24%
24%
61 64 3 +1

Matches

Nacional Potosí
Nacional Potosí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
JWI
Jorge Wilstermann
1 - 2
Nacional Potosí
NAC
53%
24%
23%
68 71 3 0
09 Mar. 2021
NAC
Nacional Potosí
3 - 4
The Strongest
STR
42%
25%
33%
68 71 3 0
31 Dec. 2020
NAC
Nacional Potosí
0 - 2
Always Ready
REA
38%
25%
36%
69 73 4 -1
29 Dec. 2020
RPO
Real Potosí
2 - 3
Nacional Potosí
NAC
31%
25%
43%
68 56 12 +1
27 Dec. 2020
NAC
Nacional Potosí
1 - 0
Real Santa Cruz
SAC
62%
22%
16%
68 59 9 0
X