Serie D Grupo E round 13

GSD Ghiviborgo vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis

GSD Ghiviborgo Follonica Gavorrano
31 ELO 51
2% Tilt 3.3%
6700º General ELO ranking 4372º
264º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
26.2%
GSD Ghiviborgo
24.9%
Draw
48.9%
Follonica Gavorrano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
GSD Ghiviborgo
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.9%
Win probability
Follonica Gavorrano
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
GSD Ghiviborgo
+117%
-51%
Follonica Gavorrano

Points and table prediction

GSD Ghiviborgo
Their league position
Follonica Gavorrano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
18º
40
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Livorno
72
72
100%
Fulgens Foligno
60
60
100%
Seravezza
59
59
100%
GSD Ghiviborgo
55
55
100%
Orvietana Calcio
53
53
100%
Siena
52
52
100%
Grosseto
50
50
100%
Ostia Mare
45
45
100%
San Donato Tavarnelle
43
43
0%
Poggibonsi
10º
43
43
10º
0%
Montevarchi Calcio
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Flaminia
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Follonica Gavorrano
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Terranuova Traiana
14º
39
39
14º
100%
AS Figline
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Sporting Trestina
16º
38
38
16º
0%
Sangiovannese
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Fezzanese
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
GSD Ghiviborgo
Follonica Gavorrano
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

GSD Ghiviborgo
Follonica Gavorrano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

GSD Ghiviborgo
GSD Ghiviborgo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2024
ACS
Sangiovannese
5 - 1
GSD Ghiviborgo
GGV
45%
24%
31%
34 42 8 0
10 Nov. 2024
GGV
GSD Ghiviborgo
3 - 0
AS Figline
ASF
21%
20%
59%
28 45 17 +6
06 Nov. 2024
LIV
Livorno
3 - 1
GSD Ghiviborgo
GGV
77%
15%
9%
28 53 25 0
03 Nov. 2024
LIV
Livorno
1 - 4
GSD Ghiviborgo
GGV
75%
15%
10%
26 54 28 +2
27 Oct. 2024
GGV
GSD Ghiviborgo
3 - 2
Terranuova Traiana
ATT
21%
21%
58%
23 41 18 +3

Matches

Follonica Gavorrano
Follonica Gavorrano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2024
ACS
Sangiovannese
1 - 2
Follonica Gavorrano
GAV
20%
25%
55%
50 43 7 0
17 Nov. 2024
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
1 - 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
SDT
67%
20%
13%
51 42 9 -1
10 Nov. 2024
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
1 - 0
Follonica Gavorrano
GAV
39%
25%
36%
51 48 3 0
06 Nov. 2024
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
1 - 0
Sporting Trestina
SPO
59%
22%
19%
51 42 9 0
03 Nov. 2024
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
0 - 2
Grosseto
GRO
52%
24%
25%
52 49 3 -1