Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs Gmundner Milch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+137%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
10º
26
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
GRU
3 - 1
URB
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PWD
3 - 1
GRU
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
GRU
1 - 1
STM
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GRU
2 - 2
OST
40%
21%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
UMA
3 - 1
GRU
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gmundner Milch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PWD
1 - 1
GMU
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
GMU
2 - 2
UMA
14%
17%
70%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
WEA
3 - 3
GMU
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
GMU
0 - 1
SPG
36%
22%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 3
GMU
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |