Groupe Bazano vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.4%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
GBA
64%
24%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GBA
0 - 1
SAI
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
GBA
1 - 1
LUB
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TPM
3 - 0
GBA
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NDB
1 - 0
GBA
34%
29%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
MOT
0 - 0
DAU
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOT
2 - 0
RAN
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 1
MBL
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 1
SAI
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOT
42%
30%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |