Groupe Bazano vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
GBA
2 - 1
CSM
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GBA
1 - 0
SHA
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GBA
1 - 1
ELI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MKE
0 - 0
GBA
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ROJ
1 - 1
GBA
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 1
SHA
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MKE
1 - 1
MOT
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
RCK
0 - 1
MOT
55%
27%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 0
CSM
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ELI
0 - 1
MOT
33%
30%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |