Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 15

Grossbardorf vs Ammerthal analysis

Grossbardorf Ammerthal
22 ELO 25
3.4% Tilt 1.5%
8802º General ELO ranking 6738º
403º Country ELO ranking 258º
ELO win probability
26.8%
Grossbardorf
21.9%
Draw
51.3%
Ammerthal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
Grossbardorf
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.3%
Win probability
Ammerthal
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grossbardorf
+30%
-21%
Ammerthal

Points and table prediction

Grossbardorf
Their league position
Ammerthal
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
18º
16º
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grossbardorf
Ammerthal
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Grossbardorf
Ammerthal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grossbardorf
Grossbardorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
GRO
Grossbardorf
0 - 6
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
23%
21%
56%
21 31 10 0
24 Sep. 2022
FEU
Feucht SC
2 - 1
Grossbardorf
GRO
57%
22%
22%
22 27 5 -1
17 Sep. 2022
GRO
Grossbardorf
0 - 1
TSV Abtswind
TSV
56%
21%
23%
23 20 3 -1
10 Sep. 2022
BAY
Bayern Hof
3 - 1
Grossbardorf
GRO
15%
19%
66%
24 13 11 -1
03 Sep. 2022
GRO
Grossbardorf
4 - 2
DJK Bamberg
DJJ
49%
23%
28%
23 24 1 +1

Matches

Ammerthal
Ammerthal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
3 - 3
Feucht SC
FEU
54%
21%
25%
26 26 0 0
24 Sep. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
29%
22%
49%
26 21 5 0
16 Sep. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
3 - 4
Bayern Hof
BAY
83%
11%
6%
27 16 11 -1
11 Sep. 2022
DJJ
DJK Bamberg
0 - 0
Ammerthal
AMM
31%
22%
47%
27 23 4 0
02 Sep. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
1 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
50%
21%
29%
26 27 1 +1
X