Grossbardorf vs Amberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WUR
1 - 2
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 2
DJK
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WEI
2 - 2
GRO
26%
26%
49%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ERL
0 - 2
GRO
14%
23%
64%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
ERB
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAY
4 - 0
AMB
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AMB
0 - 2
VIK
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WUR
2 - 0
AMB
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
JFO
2 - 1
AMB
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AMB
0 - 2
DJK
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |