Grorud IL vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
5º
36
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
GRO
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 0
FRA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 2
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 1
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 0
GRO
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 0
AAL
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
NOT
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
5 - 1
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
NOT
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 0
GRO
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |