Grödig vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RIE
4 - 2
GRO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 3
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AUS
2 - 3
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 6
WIE
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
RAP
0 - 1
GRO
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
STR
1 - 0
WIN
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
STR
3 - 0
WIE
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
AUS
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WIE
1 - 3
STR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STR
4 - 1
WOL
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |