Grödig II vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
78.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
ZES
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
KAP
3 - 0
STR
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
ZES
1 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
STR
2 - 2
MAT
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
FHV
3 - 2
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |