Grobiņa vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
9º
8º
19
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 78 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 68 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 68 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 42 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 25 |
10º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
49%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
FAS
40%
22%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
5 - 1
KUR
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 1
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
AUD
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 2
NSO
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |