Grimsby Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1938 |
GRI
2 - 0
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
DER
1 - 2
GRI
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 0
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
OPA
3 - 0
GRI
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
LEI
1 - 0
GRI
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1938 |
ASV
2 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1938 |
ASV
2 - 0
BRA
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
STO
1 - 3
ASV
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1938 |
ASV
4 - 0
SWA
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
SWA
2 - 1
ASV
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |