Grimsby Borough vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
10º
19º
11º
57
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
|
8º
|
57 | 57 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
56 | 56 |
9º
|
58% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 55 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
|
11º
|
50 | 50 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
35 | 35 |
18º
|
57% | |
|
19º
|
35 | 35 |
19º
|
67% | |
|
20º
|
34 | 34 |
20º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
GBO
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
GBO
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GBO
2 - 0
NEW
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
GBO
61%
20%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
GBO
1 - 0
CLE
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
NOR
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
GBO
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 4
CAR
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 1
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 0
NOR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |