Grevenmacher vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
15º
13º
58
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
LXC
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 2
GRE
37%
24%
40%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
DIF
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 1
BET
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RUM
1 - 1
GRE
60%
20%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCR
55%
22%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LXC
2 - 1
MAR
22%
21%
56%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SYR
0 - 2
MAR
14%
18%
67%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
JEU
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BET
3 - 4
MAR
55%
22%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |