Greuther Fürth vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
EBT
0 - 0
SGF
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SGF
3 - 0
COT
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SGF
3 - 0
KSC
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SGF
0 - 1
BVB
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
FCU
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FSV
3 - 3
STP
23%
26%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
F95
0 - 0
STP
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
STP
0 - 0
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 1
STP
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |