Greuther Fürth vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
FCU
2 - 2
SGF
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SGF
3 - 0
EBT
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LUB
1 - 2
SGF
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
SGF
1 - 1
RWA
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
HOF
4 - 1
SGF
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2002 |
M05
0 - 0
SCF
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
STP
1 - 4
M05
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
M05
2 - 0
EIN
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
M05
1 - 3
REU
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 0
M05
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |