Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 0
SGF
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SGF
2 - 1
AUG
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
WEH
0 - 1
SGF
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SGF
0 - 1
ROS
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 0
SGF
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCN
1 - 0
ING
70%
21%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FSV
2 - 1
FCN
22%
26%
51%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
STP
60%
23%
16%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 3
FCN
23%
27%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
TUS
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |