Greuther Fürth vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 3
SGF
21%
25%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
WAC
2 - 2
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SGF
0 - 0
AAA
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
SGD
1 - 2
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
SGF
1 - 1
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
ERZ
2 - 1
ROS
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERZ
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
ERZ
2 - 2
COT
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
SAA
1 - 1
ERZ
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ERZ
0 - 1
UNT
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |